Scouting Report
Connor Bunnaman holds a +12.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Bunnaman on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Bunnaman wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bunnaman 48.9% vs Hughes 36.5% (+12.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bunnaman 63.9%
Defensive zone
Bunnaman 95.7%
Neutral zone
Bunnaman 88.1%
Result
Connor Bunnaman favored at 82.0%
82.0%
18.0%
Bunnaman
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Bunnaman
Hughes
Last 8: Bunnaman 6-2 Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Bunnaman
Hughes
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bunnaman
5
1
Bunnaman
Hughes
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bunnaman
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (290)
35.9% (2,772)
+13.4%
Power Play
12.5% (8)
39.0% (223)
-26.5%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (9)
31.0% (42)
+24.6%
On power play, Hughes has a +26.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Bunnaman is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (175).
Bunnaman shoots left. Hughes is 34.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,858).
Home / Away
Bunnaman
Hughes
Home
49.0% (145)
36.7% (1,596)
Away
48.1% (162)
35.3% (1,441)
By Period
Bunnaman
Hughes
P1
47.4%
36.3%
P2
51.8%
33.7%
P3
45.9%
38.3%
Final 5 min
48.7%
34.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bunnaman
52.0%▼
54.5%
48.5%
Hughes
34.0%▼
36.5%
36.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2021 | 3 | 12:01 | Neutral | Connor Bunnaman |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 3 | 06:26 | Neutral | Connor Bunnaman |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 1 | 13:36 | Neutral | Connor Bunnaman |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 3 | 08:07 | Neutral | Connor Bunnaman |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 2 | 11:59 | Neutral | Connor Bunnaman |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 2 | 08:11 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 1 | 11:22 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 3 | 19:04 | Offensive | Connor Bunnaman |