Scouting Report
Connor Bunnaman holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Bunnaman on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Bunnaman wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bunnaman 48.9% vs Hughes 36.6% (+12.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bunnaman 62.9%
Defensive zone
Bunnaman 95.6%
Neutral zone
Bunnaman 87.8%
Result
Connor Bunnaman favored at 81.6%
81.6%
18.4%
Bunnaman
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Bunnaman
Hughes
Last 8: Bunnaman 6-2 Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Bunnaman
Hughes
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bunnaman
5
1
Bunnaman
Hughes
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bunnaman
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (290)
36.0% (2,887)
+13.3%
Power Play
12.5% (8)
38.8% (224)
-26.3%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (9)
31.0% (42)
+24.6%
On power play, Hughes has a +26.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Bunnaman is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (175).
Bunnaman shoots left. Hughes is 34.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,931).
Home / Away
Bunnaman
Hughes
Home
49.0% (145)
36.8% (1,670)
Away
48.1% (162)
35.4% (1,483)
By Period
Bunnaman
Hughes
P1
47.4%
36.9%
P2
51.8%
33.6%
P3
45.9%
38.1%
Final 5 min
48.7%
34.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bunnaman
52.0%▼
54.5%
48.5%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2021 | 3 | 12:01 | Neutral | Connor Bunnaman |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 3 | 06:26 | Neutral | Connor Bunnaman |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 1 | 13:36 | Neutral | Connor Bunnaman |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 3 | 08:07 | Neutral | Connor Bunnaman |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 2 | 11:59 | Neutral | Connor Bunnaman |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 2 | 08:11 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 1 | 11:22 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 3 | 19:04 | Offensive | Connor Bunnaman |