Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 45.5% vs Spezza 54.7% (-9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 83.4%
Defensive zone
Dewar 64.1%
Neutral zone
Spezza 58.6%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 73.9%
26.1%
73.9%
Dewar
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Dewar
Spezza
Last 5: Dewar 3-2 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Dewar
Spezza
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dewar
1
0
Dewar
Spezza
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (1,008)
54.4% (7,990)
-9.0%
Power Play
60.9% (23)
56.8% (1,726)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
41.8% (194)
52.7% (643)
-10.9%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Dewar is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (403).
Dewar shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,310).
Home / Away
Dewar
Spezza
Home
43.4% (588)
56.8% (5,066)
Away
46.8% (637)
52.7% (5,332)
By Period
Dewar
Spezza
P1
43.9%
55.7%
P2
47.1%
54.4%
P3
44.3%
54.1%
OT
0.0%
51.5%
Final 5 min
48.0%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
45.1%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2022 | 3 | 05:59 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 2 | 14:26 | Offensive | Connor Dewar |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 1 | 11:16 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 1 | 10:56 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 1 | 03:18 | Offensive | Connor Dewar |