Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Dewar wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 45.5% vs Draisaitl 53.3% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dewar 67.7%
Defensive zone
Dewar 92.2%
Neutral zone
Dewar 79.0%
Result
Connor Dewar favored at 73.7%
73.7%
26.3%
Dewar
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Dewar
Draisaitl
Last 6: Dewar 1-5 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
4
Dewar
Draisaitl
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
1
Dewar
Draisaitl
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dewar
1
0
Dewar
Draisaitl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (1,008)
52.9% (10,240)
-7.5%
Power Play
60.9% (23)
55.7% (2,827)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
41.8% (194)
51.2% (977)
-9.4%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Dewar is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (822).
Dewar shoots left. Draisaitl is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,946).
Home / Away
Dewar
Draisaitl
Home
43.4% (588)
54.6% (7,049)
Away
46.8% (637)
52.0% (6,995)
By Period
Dewar
Draisaitl
P1
43.9%
52.7%
P2
47.1%
53.6%
P3
44.3%
53.4%
OT
0.0%
57.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
45.1%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 13:17 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 12:13 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 23, 2024 | 3 | 13:41 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 23, 2024 | 2 | 02:40 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |
| Dec 8, 2023 | 2 | 07:40 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 2 | 10:59 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |