Scouting Report
Trent Frederic holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Dewar wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Frederic shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 45.5% vs Frederic 46.8% (-1.4%)
Offensive zone
Frederic 66.0%
Defensive zone
Dewar 66.3%
Neutral zone
Dewar 53.3%
Result
Connor Dewar favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Dewar
Frederic
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Frederic
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (1,008)
46.3% (909)
-0.9%
Power Play
60.9% (23)
63.3% (30)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
41.8% (194)
35.5% (31)
+6.3%
On penalty kill, Dewar has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frederic shoots left. Dewar is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (822).
Dewar shoots left. Frederic is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (618).
Home / Away
Dewar
Frederic
Home
43.4% (588)
47.6% (485)
Away
46.8% (637)
45.4% (485)
By Period
Dewar
Frederic
P1
43.9%
41.9%
P2
47.1%
48.0%
P3
44.3%
49.8%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
45.1%
Frederic
58.0%▲
54.0%
46.5%