Connor McDavid vs Frans Nielsen
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.7% vs 48.5%). Look for Nielsen on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.8% vs Nielsen 48.5% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Nielsen leads 11-6 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 74.2%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 60.4%
Neutral zone
McDavid 51.9%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 56.9%
56.9%
43.1%
McDavid
Nielsen
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
11
(17 meetings)
6
11
McDavid
Nielsen
Last 10: McDavid 4-6 Nielsen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
2
4
McDavid
Nielsen
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
0
4
McDavid
Nielsen
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
4
3
McDavid
Nielsen
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Nielsen
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (8,358)
49.3% (7,608)
-1.6%
Power Play
52.0% (371)
54.7% (594)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (279)
41.7% (1,420)
+1.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nielsen shoots left. McDavid is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,903).
McDavid shoots left. Nielsen is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,996).
Home / Away
McDavid
Nielsen
Home
49.3% (4,570)
49.9% (4,766)
Away
46.1% (4,438)
47.1% (4,890)
By Period
McDavid
Nielsen
P1
46.5%
49.7%
P2
48.7%
47.6%
P3
48.3%
48.2%
OT
40.9%
46.6%
Final 5 min
50.1%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2019 | 2 | 01:32 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 3 | 14:51 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 2 | 18:16 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 5, 2017 | 3 | 13:40 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 4, 2017 | 3 | 10:26 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 4, 2017 | 2 | 04:35 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 4, 2017 | 2 | 04:28 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 6, 2016 | 3 | 05:48 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 6, 2016 | 3 | 05:39 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 28, 2016 | 3 | 11:07 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 28, 2016 | 1 | 12:47 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 28, 2016 | 1 | 06:18 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 28, 2016 | 1 | 03:51 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 28, 2016 | 1 | 00:36 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 7, 2016 | 2 | 17:22 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 7, 2016 | 2 | 10:38 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 7, 2016 | 2 | 06:09 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |