Scouting Report
Marcus Kruger holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). McDavid wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Kruger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.0% vs Kruger 48.5% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 73.0%
Defensive zone
Kruger 74.1%
Neutral zone
Kruger 58.7%
Result
Marcus Kruger favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
McDavid
Kruger
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
McDavid
Kruger
Last 9: McDavid 5-4 Kruger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
3
0
McDavid
Kruger
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McDavid
Kruger
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kruger
1
3
McDavid
Kruger
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Kruger
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (862)
48.9% (315)
-2.0%
Power Play
42.1% (38)
50.0% (2)
-7.9%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (18)
44.6% (74)
-0.2%
On power play, Kruger has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kruger shoots left. McDavid is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (588).
McDavid shoots left. Kruger is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (259).
Home / Away
McDavid
Kruger
Home
47.9% (478)
49.3% (221)
Away
45.2% (440)
46.5% (170)
By Period
McDavid
Kruger
P1
45.9%
55.9%
P2
47.7%
39.1%
P3
46.6%
48.4%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
46.6%
Kruger
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2019 | 3 | 12:12 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 3 | 05:51 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 2 | 13:04 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 2 | 09:58 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 2 | 03:54 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 1 | 01:08 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 28, 2018 | 2 | 07:10 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Oct 28, 2018 | 1 | 15:34 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |