Scouting Report
Martin Hanzal holds a +13.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Hanzal on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). McDavid wins 44.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hanzal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 43.9% vs Hanzal 56.0% (-13.2%)
H2H factor
Hanzal leads 14-1 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 88.1%
Defensive zone
McDavid 91.0%
Neutral zone
McDavid 93.1%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 91.4%
91.4%
8.6%
McDavid
Hanzal
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
14
(15 meetings)
1
14
McDavid
Hanzal
Last 10: McDavid 0-10 Hanzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hanzal
0
3
McDavid
Hanzal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hanzal
0
5
McDavid
Hanzal
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hanzal
1
6
McDavid
Hanzal
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Hanzal
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (750)
57.1% (1,059)
-13.8%
Power Play
40.0% (25)
60.0% (175)
-20.0%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (31)
45.2% (126)
-3.3%
On power play, Hanzal has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hanzal shoots left. McDavid is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (475).
McDavid shoots left. Hanzal is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (897).
Home / Away
McDavid
Hanzal
Home
48.7% (413)
57.6% (682)
Away
37.4% (393)
55.2% (678)
By Period
McDavid
Hanzal
P1
38.8%
57.8%
P2
46.8%
57.8%
P3
44.2%
53.7%
OT
45.5%
55.6%
Final 5 min
54.5%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
43.2%
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
56.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2017 | 2 | 05:04 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Feb 14, 2017 | 1 | 19:04 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Jan 16, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 21, 2016 | 3 | 00:46 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 21, 2016 | 3 | 00:21 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 21, 2016 | 1 | 00:15 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Nov 27, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 3 | 09:03 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 3 | 08:54 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 2 | 13:55 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 2 | 13:41 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 2 | 10:57 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 1 | 17:38 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 1 | 17:29 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 1 | 01:02 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |