Scouting Report
Ryan Getzlaf holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 48.1% vs Getzlaf 51.1% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Getzlaf 58.2%
Defensive zone
Getzlaf 83.3%
Neutral zone
Getzlaf 66.8%
Result
Ryan Getzlaf favored at 76.7%
23.3%
76.7%
McDavid
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
McDavid
Getzlaf
Last 5: McDavid 4-1 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
2
1
McDavid
Getzlaf
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
2
0
McDavid
Getzlaf
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (633)
51.6% (812)
-4.7%
Power Play
69.2% (26)
55.3% (94)
+13.9%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (11)
45.2% (126)
+0.3%
On power play, McDavid has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. McDavid is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (220).
McDavid shoots left. Getzlaf is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (774).
Home / Away
McDavid
Getzlaf
Home
49.9% (353)
52.5% (531)
Away
45.4% (317)
49.9% (503)
By Period
McDavid
Getzlaf
P1
46.6%
47.8%
P2
50.9%
54.6%
P3
45.9%
52.6%
OT
0.0%
27.8%
Final 5 min
50.4%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.8%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2020 | 3 | 19:43 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 3 | 05:27 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 2 | 18:38 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 2 | 18:23 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 2 | 06:32 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |