Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.7% vs 47.2%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.8% vs Connolly 47.3% (+0.5%)
Offensive zone
McDavid 53.4%
Defensive zone
McDavid 50.9%
Neutral zone
McDavid 52.8%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
McDavid
Connolly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Connolly
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (8,358)
47.4% (1,307)
+0.3%
Power Play
52.0% (371)
50.2% (251)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (279)
41.9% (186)
+1.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Connolly shoots right. McDavid is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,105).
McDavid shoots left. Connolly is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,179).
Home / Away
McDavid
Connolly
Home
49.3% (4,570)
48.5% (870)
Away
46.1% (4,438)
45.9% (885)
By Period
McDavid
Connolly
P1
46.5%
47.4%
P2
48.7%
47.7%
P3
48.3%
47.0%
OT
40.9%
37.8%
Final 5 min
50.1%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%
Connolly
50.0%▬
51.0%
47.2%