Barclay Goodrow vs Connor McMichael
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Barclay Goodrow holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Goodrow on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Goodrow wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — McMichael shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 53.5% vs McMichael 43.2% (+11.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Goodrow 70.2%
Defensive zone
Goodrow 96.6%
Neutral zone
Goodrow 91.7%
Result
Barclay Goodrow favored at 90.0%
90.0%
10.0%
Goodrow
McMichael
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Goodrow
McMichael
Last 7: Goodrow 6-1 McMichael
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Goodrow
1
0
Goodrow
McMichael
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goodrow
2
0
Goodrow
McMichael
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Goodrow
3
1
Goodrow
McMichael
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
McMichael
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (544)
43.4% (761)
+12.1%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
40.7% (59)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (74)
30.8% (52)
+13.8%
On penalty kill, Goodrow has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McMichael shoots left. Goodrow is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (395).
Goodrow shoots left. McMichael is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (591).
Home / Away
Goodrow
McMichael
Home
57.2% (332)
42.1% (444)
Away
50.3% (292)
42.8% (428)
By Period
Goodrow
McMichael
P1
50.8%
42.5%
P2
59.5%
41.9%
P3
51.8%
42.5%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
39.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
54.0%
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2024 | 2 | 18:22 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barclay Goodrow |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 15:49 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 05:06 | Offensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barclay Goodrow |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 1 | 19:30 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barclay Goodrow |