Barrett Hayton vs Connor McMichael
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayton on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 49.8% vs McMichael 43.2% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 69.2%
Defensive zone
Hayton 75.8%
Neutral zone
Hayton 73.5%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 73.5%
73.5%
26.5%
Hayton
McMichael
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Hayton
McMichael
Last 6: Hayton 4-2 McMichael
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
McMichael
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hayton
McMichael
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
2
1
Hayton
McMichael
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
McMichael
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (318)
43.4% (761)
+6.9%
Power Play
50.7% (67)
40.7% (59)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (33)
30.8% (52)
+11.6%
On penalty kill, Hayton has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McMichael shoots left. Hayton is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (253).
Hayton shoots left. McMichael is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (591).
Home / Away
Hayton
McMichael
Home
47.4% (171)
42.1% (444)
Away
51.4% (247)
42.8% (428)
By Period
Hayton
McMichael
P1
49.6%
42.5%
P2
50.0%
41.9%
P3
49.0%
42.5%
OT
75.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
58.8%
39.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
49.8%
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2024 | 3 | 00:10 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 2 | 17:51 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 2 | 11:12 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 2 | 11:01 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 1 | 16:28 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |