Scouting Report
Radek Faksa holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Faksa on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). McMichael wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Faksa shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 44.2% vs Faksa 53.0% (-10.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McMichael 78.6%
Defensive zone
McMichael 59.3%
Neutral zone
McMichael 68.1%
Result
Connor McMichael favored at 59.3%
59.3%
40.7%
McMichael
Faksa
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
McMichael
Faksa
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Faksa
0
3
McMichael
Faksa
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Faksa
Edge
Even Strength
42.8% (367)
55.7% (280)
-12.9%
Power Play
51.0% (49)
0.0% (2)
+51.0%
Penalty Kill
38.9% (72)
50.0% (116)
-11.1%
On power play, McMichael has a +51.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Faksa shoots left. McMichael is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (332).
McMichael shoots left. Faksa is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (259).
Home / Away
McMichael
Faksa
Home
43.4% (267)
54.6% (163)
Away
42.5% (221)
53.2% (235)
By Period
McMichael
Faksa
P1
46.2%
60.5%
P2
41.3%
52.4%
P3
42.3%
48.4%
Final 5 min
42.9%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
50.0%▲
45.5%
43.0%
Faksa
44.0%▼
51.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 15:17 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 09:22 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 09:19 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |