Connor McMichael vs Sebastian Aho
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. McMichael wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 44.2% vs Aho 50.4% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
McMichael
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
McMichael
Aho
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McMichael
Aho
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
0
1
McMichael
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
42.8% (367)
50.5% (647)
-7.7%
Power Play
51.0% (49)
54.2% (131)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
38.9% (72)
38.1% (42)
+0.8%
On even strength, Aho has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. McMichael is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (332).
McMichael shoots left. Aho is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (531).
Home / Away
McMichael
Aho
Home
43.4% (267)
53.9% (445)
Away
42.5% (221)
46.4% (375)
By Period
McMichael
Aho
P1
46.2%
48.7%
P2
41.3%
51.4%
P3
42.3%
50.8%
Final 5 min
42.9%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
50.0%▲
45.5%
43.0%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 19:26 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 19:16 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 1 | 15:00 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |