Scouting Report
Colton Sissons holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Zary on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Sissons wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Zary shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 55.3% vs Zary 47.1% (+11.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zary 88.7%
Defensive zone
Sissons 52.4%
Neutral zone
Zary 61.9%
Result
Connor Zary favored at 58.5%
41.5%
58.5%
Sissons
Zary
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Sissons
Zary
Last 9: Sissons 3-6 Zary
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zary
0
1
Sissons
Zary
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zary
1
3
Sissons
Zary
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Sissons
Zary
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Zary
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (428)
47.1% (136)
+9.9%
Power Play
58.8% (17)
31.6% (19)
+27.2%
On power play, Sissons has a +27.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zary shoots left. Sissons is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (392).
Sissons shoots right. Zary is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (74).
Home / Away
Sissons
Zary
Home
52.9% (263)
45.6% (79)
Away
59.3% (297)
44.7% (76)
By Period
Sissons
Zary
P1
55.8%
48.3%
P2
57.6%
46.3%
P3
55.4%
39.5%
Final 5 min
52.1%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
60.0%▲
58.5%
56.3%
Zary
50.0%▲
46.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 19:52 | Defensive | Connor Zary |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 02:56 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 02:37 | Neutral | Connor Zary |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 05:09 | Defensive | Connor Zary |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 17:10 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 09:49 | Neutral | Connor Zary |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 02:08 | Defensive | Connor Zary |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 11:12 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 02:37 | Offensive | Connor Zary |