Scouting Report
Connor Zary holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Zary wins 41.6% vs right-shot opponents — Hayes shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zary 42.6% vs Hayes 40.2% (+5.1%)
Offensive zone
Hayes 50.6%
Defensive zone
Zary 56.0%
Neutral zone
Hayes 50.1%
Result
Connor Zary favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Zary
Hayes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zary
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (447)
36.1% (202)
+5.7%
Power Play
36.2% (58)
34.3% (35)
+1.9%
On even strength, Zary has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots right. Zary is 41.6% vs right-shot opponents (214).
Zary shoots left. Hayes is 34.6% vs left-shot opponents (159).
Home / Away
Zary
Hayes
Home
41.3% (293)
34.7% (124)
Away
41.0% (212)
37.7% (114)
By Period
Zary
Hayes
P1
40.4%
38.6%
P2
38.6%
26.5%
P3
45.2%
43.5%
Final 5 min
34.6%
30.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zary
50.0%▲
46.0%
41.2%
Hayes
28.0%▼
35.5%
36.1%