Scouting Report
Shane Pinto holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Zary on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Zary wins 41.6% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zary 42.6% vs Pinto 50.3% (-9.1%)
H2H factor
Pinto leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Zary 76.4%
Defensive zone
Pinto 73.9%
Neutral zone
Zary 51.4%
Result
Connor Zary favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Zary
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Zary
Pinto
Last 10: Zary 4-6 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zary
4
0
Zary
Pinto
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
3
Zary
Pinto
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pinto
1
4
Zary
Pinto
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zary
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (447)
50.6% (2,716)
-8.8%
Power Play
36.2% (58)
54.4% (90)
-18.2%
On power play, Pinto has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Zary is 41.6% vs right-shot opponents (214).
Zary shoots left. Pinto is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,185).
Home / Away
Zary
Pinto
Home
41.3% (293)
50.9% (1,501)
Away
41.0% (212)
49.6% (1,539)
By Period
Zary
Pinto
P1
40.4%
48.3%
P2
38.6%
51.7%
P3
45.2%
50.9%
OT
0.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
34.6%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zary
50.0%▲
46.0%
41.2%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 13:38 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 11:35 | Offensive | Connor Zary |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 11:16 | Offensive | Connor Zary |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 10:12 | Offensive | Connor Zary |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 2 | 01:48 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 1 | 12:30 | Offensive | Connor Zary |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 1 | 07:13 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 1 | 00:50 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 2 | 14:17 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 2 | 03:18 | Neutral | Connor Zary |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 1 | 07:19 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |