Scouting Report
Corban Knight holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Knight on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Knight wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Knight 51.4% vs Staal 50.6% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 59.2%
Defensive zone
Knight 63.7%
Neutral zone
Knight 53.6%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Knight
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Knight
Staal
Last 5: Knight 4-1 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Knight
2
1
Knight
Staal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Knight
2
0
Knight
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Knight
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (273)
50.5% (10,347)
+2.2%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
53.5% (2,023)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
27.3% (11)
44.2% (781)
-16.9%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +16.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Knight is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (206).
Knight shoots right. Staal is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (4,886).
Home / Away
Knight
Staal
Home
52.4% (147)
52.6% (6,558)
Away
51.4% (142)
48.6% (6,664)
By Period
Knight
Staal
P1
50.5%
50.0%
P2
51.0%
51.1%
P3
54.5%
50.4%
Final 5 min
47.1%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Knight
50.0%▬
49.0%
51.9%
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2015 | 2 | 18:24 | Offensive | Corban Knight |
| Dec 18, 2015 | 2 | 18:16 | Offensive | Corban Knight |
| Dec 18, 2015 | 2 | 09:16 | Defensive | Corban Knight |
| Dec 18, 2015 | 1 | 18:29 | Defensive | Corban Knight |
| Dec 18, 2015 | 1 | 15:09 | Offensive | Eric Staal |