Scouting Report
Corban Knight holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Knight on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Knight wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Barbashev shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Knight 51.1% vs Barbashev 46.4% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Knight 60.7%
Defensive zone
Knight 57.9%
Neutral zone
Knight 63.6%
Result
Corban Knight favored at 61.9%
61.9%
38.1%
Knight
Barbashev
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Knight
Barbashev
Last 5: Knight 3-2 Barbashev
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barbashev
0
1
Knight
Barbashev
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Knight
1
0
Knight
Barbashev
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Knight
2
1
Knight
Barbashev
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Knight
Barbashev
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (111)
46.5% (389)
+7.6%
Penalty Kill
30.0% (10)
41.3% (46)
-11.3%
On penalty kill, Barbashev has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barbashev shoots left. Knight is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (91).
Knight shoots right. Barbashev is 41.9% vs right-shot opponents (191).
Home / Away
Knight
Barbashev
Home
65.2% (46)
45.9% (233)
Away
44.0% (75)
45.2% (208)
By Period
Knight
Barbashev
P1
54.8%
46.5%
P2
48.6%
48.3%
P3
52.4%
42.1%
Final 5 min
53.6%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Knight
50.0%▬
49.0%
52.1%
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
45.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2019 | 3 | 19:08 | Neutral | Corban Knight |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 3 | 15:01 | Defensive | Corban Knight |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 2 | 18:27 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 1 | 18:18 | Neutral | Corban Knight |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 1 | 02:49 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |