Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Knight wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Knight 51.4% vs Staal 55.3% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Knight 67.6%
Defensive zone
Knight 63.6%
Neutral zone
Knight 67.4%
Result
Corban Knight favored at 65.9%
65.9%
34.1%
Knight
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Knight
Staal
Last 5: Knight 1-4 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
2
Knight
Staal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
2
Knight
Staal
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Knight
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (273)
55.9% (14,620)
-3.2%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
62.7% (1,745)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
27.3% (11)
48.0% (2,896)
-20.7%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +20.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Knight is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (206).
Knight shoots right. Staal is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (6,553).
Home / Away
Knight
Staal
Home
52.4% (147)
56.4% (9,663)
Away
51.4% (142)
54.3% (9,663)
By Period
Knight
Staal
P1
50.5%
55.2%
P2
51.0%
55.9%
P3
54.5%
54.9%
Final 5 min
47.1%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Knight
50.0%▬
49.0%
51.9%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2019 | 3 | 09:23 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Corban Knight |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 2 | 10:57 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |