Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Knight wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Knight 51.1% vs Staal 55.3% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Knight 59.5%
Defensive zone
Knight 60.8%
Neutral zone
Knight 61.3%
Result
Corban Knight favored at 61.1%
61.1%
38.9%
Knight
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Knight
Staal
Last 5: Knight 1-4 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
2
Knight
Staal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
2
Knight
Staal
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Knight
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (111)
56.7% (750)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
30.0% (10)
46.4% (153)
-16.4%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Knight is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (91).
Knight shoots right. Staal is 60.2% vs right-shot opponents (369).
Home / Away
Knight
Staal
Home
65.2% (46)
58.8% (522)
Away
44.0% (75)
52.7% (501)
By Period
Knight
Staal
P1
54.8%
60.8%
P2
48.6%
55.9%
P3
52.4%
51.7%
Final 5 min
53.6%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Knight
50.0%▬
49.0%
52.1%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2019 | 3 | 09:23 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Corban Knight |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 2 | 10:57 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |