Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.9% vs 52.2%). Knight wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Knight 51.4% vs Paul 52.2% (-0.3%)
Offensive zone
Knight 53.1%
Defensive zone
Paul 54.8%
Neutral zone
Knight 50.1%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Knight
Paul
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Knight
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (273)
52.5% (3,796)
+0.2%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
56.5% (480)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
27.3% (11)
46.7% (574)
-19.4%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +19.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Knight is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (206).
Knight shoots right. Paul is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,780).
Home / Away
Knight
Paul
Home
52.4% (147)
52.7% (2,412)
Away
51.4% (142)
51.7% (2,439)
By Period
Knight
Paul
P1
50.5%
53.9%
P2
51.0%
51.0%
P3
54.5%
52.0%
Final 5 min
47.1%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Knight
50.0%▬
49.0%
51.9%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
52.2%