Scouting Report
Jimmy Hayes holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Perry wins 29.6% vs right-shot opponents — Hayes shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Perry 37.3% vs Hayes 40.2% (-3.5%)
Offensive zone
Perry 51.7%
Defensive zone
Perry 52.5%
Neutral zone
Perry 50.5%
Result
Corey Perry favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Perry
Hayes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Perry
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
31.1% (196)
36.1% (202)
-5.0%
Power Play
35.1% (37)
34.3% (35)
+0.8%
On even strength, Hayes has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots right. Perry is 29.6% vs right-shot opponents (98).
Perry shoots right. Hayes is 39.2% vs right-shot opponents (79).
Home / Away
Perry
Hayes
Home
31.8% (129)
34.7% (124)
Away
33.3% (138)
37.7% (114)
By Period
Perry
Hayes
P1
34.7%
38.6%
P2
30.2%
26.5%
P3
33.3%
43.5%
Final 5 min
27.3%
30.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Perry
36.0%▲
30.0%
32.6%
Hayes
28.0%▼
35.5%
36.1%