Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (32.6% vs 31.9%). Perry wins 34.3% vs left-shot opponents — Ostlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Perry 37.3% vs Ostlund 36.5% (+0.7%)
Offensive zone
Perry 56.1%
Defensive zone
Ostlund 52.4%
Neutral zone
Ostlund 51.4%
Result
Corey Perry favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Perry
Ostlund
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Perry
Ostlund
Edge
Even Strength
31.1% (196)
32.5% (283)
-1.4%
Power Play
35.1% (37)
11.1% (9)
+24.0%
Penalty Kill
39.4% (33)
33.3% (3)
+6.1%
On power play, Perry has a +24.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ostlund shoots left. Perry is 34.3% vs left-shot opponents (169).
Perry shoots right. Ostlund is 34.8% vs right-shot opponents (112).
Home / Away
Perry
Ostlund
Home
31.8% (129)
37.0% (154)
Away
33.3% (138)
26.2% (141)
By Period
Perry
Ostlund
P1
34.7%
34.6%
P2
30.2%
32.0%
P3
33.3%
28.6%
Final 5 min
27.3%
23.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Perry
36.0%▲
30.0%
32.6%
Ostlund
46.0%▲
34.5%
31.9%