Scouting Report
Cory Emmerton holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Emmerton on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Shaw wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Emmerton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 45.1% vs Emmerton 46.2% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Emmerton leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Shaw 66.3%
Defensive zone
Shaw 52.7%
Neutral zone
Shaw 61.0%
Result
Andrew Shaw favored at 62.4%
62.4%
37.6%
Shaw
Emmerton
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Shaw
Emmerton
Last 10: Shaw 3-7 Emmerton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Emmerton
3
5
Shaw
Emmerton
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Emmerton
0
3
Shaw
Emmerton
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Shaw
Emmerton
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Emmerton
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (430)
44.8% (368)
-0.4%
Power Play
40.9% (22)
50.0% (4)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
48.8% (41)
-28.8%
On penalty kill, Emmerton has a +28.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Emmerton shoots left. Shaw is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (339).
Shaw shoots right. Emmerton is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (122).
Home / Away
Shaw
Emmerton
Home
45.5% (224)
44.6% (213)
Away
42.5% (233)
46.0% (200)
By Period
Shaw
Emmerton
P1
39.1%
46.3%
P2
41.7%
43.8%
P3
50.3%
45.7%
Final 5 min
43.2%
37.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
44.0%
Emmerton
56.0%▲
50.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2013 | 2 | 16:49 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Apr 12, 2013 | 2 | 05:06 | Defensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Apr 12, 2013 | 2 | 01:30 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Apr 12, 2013 | 1 | 02:01 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 31, 2013 | 3 | 11:53 | Offensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Mar 31, 2013 | 1 | 08:11 | Offensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Mar 3, 2013 | 3 | 13:09 | Offensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Mar 3, 2013 | 3 | 08:03 | Neutral | Cory Emmerton |
| Mar 3, 2013 | 2 | 18:01 | Offensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Mar 3, 2013 | 2 | 09:08 | Defensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Mar 3, 2013 | 2 | 02:15 | Defensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Mar 3, 2013 | 1 | 01:41 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Jan 27, 2013 | 2 | 03:03 | Offensive | Cory Emmerton |