Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.3% vs 48.2%). Look for Emmerton on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fraser 47.9% vs Emmerton 48.7% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Emmerton leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Emmerton 51.6%
Defensive zone
Fraser 78.5%
Neutral zone
Fraser 62.8%
Result
Colin Fraser favored at 61.8%
61.8%
38.2%
Fraser
Emmerton
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Fraser
Emmerton
Last 10: Fraser 2-8 Emmerton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Emmerton
1
2
Fraser
Emmerton
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Fraser
Emmerton
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Emmerton
1
5
Fraser
Emmerton
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fraser
Emmerton
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (332)
48.2% (299)
+0.6%
Power Play
30.0% (10)
42.9% (7)
-12.9%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (26)
57.1% (7)
-18.6%
On penalty kill, Emmerton has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Emmerton shoots left. Fraser is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (254).
Fraser shoots left. Emmerton is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (222).
Home / Away
Fraser
Emmerton
Home
49.7% (189)
49.7% (183)
Away
44.8% (181)
46.2% (130)
By Period
Fraser
Emmerton
P1
44.6%
45.5%
P2
48.1%
50.0%
P3
49.1%
49.4%
Final 5 min
47.8%
46.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fraser
44.0%▼
49.5%
47.3%
Emmerton
56.0%▲
50.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2012 | 3 | 19:39 | Neutral | Cory Emmerton |
| Mar 13, 2012 | 3 | 13:30 | Neutral | Cory Emmerton |
| Mar 13, 2012 | 3 | 08:41 | Neutral | Colin Fraser |
| Mar 13, 2012 | 2 | 09:16 | Offensive | Colin Fraser |
| Mar 13, 2012 | 2 | 08:58 | Neutral | Cory Emmerton |
| Mar 13, 2012 | 2 | 04:06 | Neutral | Cory Emmerton |
| Mar 9, 2012 | 2 | 16:27 | Defensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 2 | 09:58 | Neutral | Cory Emmerton |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 3 | 01:41 | Offensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 2 | 08:31 | Offensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 1 | 04:53 | Defensive | Colin Fraser |