Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.5% vs 47.7%). Look for Boyce on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Emmerton 47.8% vs Boyce 48.1% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Emmerton 59.5%
Defensive zone
Boyce 64.1%
Neutral zone
Boyce 50.1%
Result
Darryl Boyce favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Emmerton
Boyce
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Emmerton
Boyce
Last 8: Emmerton 2-6 Boyce
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boyce
0
1
Emmerton
Boyce
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Emmerton
Boyce
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Boyce
1
4
Emmerton
Boyce
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Emmerton
Boyce
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (764)
47.8% (561)
-0.7%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
45.5% (22)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
52.5% (59)
44.8% (29)
+7.7%
On penalty kill, Emmerton has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyce shoots left. Emmerton is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (575).
Emmerton shoots left. Boyce is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Home / Away
Emmerton
Boyce
Home
47.2% (453)
52.2% (322)
Away
47.8% (381)
43.0% (298)
By Period
Emmerton
Boyce
P1
45.4%
49.8%
P2
48.5%
48.6%
P3
48.9%
44.6%
Final 5 min
42.7%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Emmerton
56.0%▲
50.0%
47.5%
Boyce
50.0%▲
48.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2012 | 2 | 14:30 | Neutral | Cory Emmerton |
| Mar 28, 2012 | 2 | 09:16 | Defensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Mar 28, 2012 | 2 | 09:04 | Neutral | Darryl Boyce |
| Mar 28, 2012 | 1 | 01:22 | Offensive | Darryl Boyce |
| Mar 26, 2012 | 3 | 08:46 | Defensive | Darryl Boyce |
| Mar 26, 2012 | 1 | 13:39 | Neutral | Darryl Boyce |
| Feb 28, 2012 | 3 | 08:26 | Neutral | Darryl Boyce |
| Feb 28, 2012 | 1 | 04:50 | Neutral | Darryl Boyce |