Scouting Report
Cory Emmerton holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Emmerton on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Emmerton wins 63.0% vs right-shot opponents — Stepan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Emmerton 52.2% vs Stepan 45.5% (+9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Emmerton 53.7%
Defensive zone
Emmerton 81.3%
Neutral zone
Emmerton 84.1%
Result
Cory Emmerton favored at 78.6%
78.6%
21.4%
Emmerton
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Emmerton
Stepan
Last 6: Emmerton 4-2 Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
0
1
Emmerton
Stepan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Emmerton
1
0
Emmerton
Stepan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Emmerton
3
1
Emmerton
Stepan
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Emmerton
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (96)
43.8% (1,141)
+9.3%
Penalty Kill
63.6% (11)
43.2% (118)
+20.4%
On penalty kill, Emmerton has a +20.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Emmerton is 63.0% vs right-shot opponents (46).
Emmerton shoots left. Stepan is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,028).
Home / Away
Emmerton
Stepan
Home
50.0% (56)
47.8% (828)
Away
58.8% (51)
42.0% (684)
By Period
Emmerton
Stepan
P1
41.5%
49.5%
P2
61.0%
42.0%
P3
64.0%
44.3%
Final 5 min
53.8%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Emmerton
56.0%▲
50.0%
54.2%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2014 | 3 | 14:02 | Neutral | Cory Emmerton |
| Jan 16, 2014 | 3 | 09:09 | Neutral | Cory Emmerton |
| Jan 16, 2014 | 3 | 09:05 | Neutral | Cory Emmerton |
| Jan 16, 2014 | 3 | 05:40 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 16, 2014 | 2 | 12:11 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 16, 2014 | 2 | 01:20 | Defensive | Cory Emmerton |