Scouting Report
Derick Brassard holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Brassard on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Emmerton wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Brassard shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Emmerton 46.2% vs Brassard 48.5% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Emmerton 56.0%
Defensive zone
Emmerton 50.5%
Neutral zone
Emmerton 50.3%
Result
Cory Emmerton favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Emmerton
Brassard
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Emmerton
Brassard
Last 6: Emmerton 2-4 Brassard
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
0
3
Emmerton
Brassard
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
0
1
Emmerton
Brassard
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Emmerton
2
0
Emmerton
Brassard
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Emmerton
Brassard
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (368)
48.5% (392)
-3.7%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
51.2% (43)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (41)
27.3% (11)
+21.5%
On penalty kill, Emmerton has a +21.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brassard shoots left. Emmerton is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (291).
Emmerton shoots left. Brassard is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (291).
Home / Away
Emmerton
Brassard
Home
44.6% (213)
49.7% (193)
Away
46.0% (200)
47.0% (253)
By Period
Emmerton
Brassard
P1
46.3%
46.9%
P2
43.8%
52.1%
P3
45.7%
46.5%
Final 5 min
37.6%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Emmerton
56.0%▲
50.0%
45.3%
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2013 | 1 | 17:44 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 2 | 19:23 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 2 | 14:23 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 2 | 04:20 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 21, 2013 | 2 | 05:29 | Neutral | Cory Emmerton |
| Feb 21, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Cory Emmerton |