Scouting Report
Jason Arnott holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Arnott on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Emmerton 47.8% vs Arnott 50.3% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Arnott 52.0%
Defensive zone
Emmerton 57.5%
Neutral zone
Emmerton 57.6%
Result
Cory Emmerton favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
Emmerton
Arnott
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Emmerton
Arnott
Last 6: Emmerton 1-5 Arnott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Emmerton
Arnott
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Arnott
0
1
Emmerton
Arnott
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Arnott
0
3
Emmerton
Arnott
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Emmerton
Arnott
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (764)
49.7% (1,444)
-2.6%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
53.8% (182)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
52.5% (59)
40.0% (15)
+12.5%
On penalty kill, Emmerton has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Arnott shoots right. Emmerton is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (259).
Emmerton shoots left. Arnott is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,175).
Home / Away
Emmerton
Arnott
Home
47.2% (453)
52.1% (891)
Away
47.8% (381)
48.2% (772)
By Period
Emmerton
Arnott
P1
45.4%
46.1%
P2
48.5%
53.6%
P3
48.9%
50.1%
Final 5 min
42.7%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Emmerton
56.0%▲
50.0%
47.5%
Arnott
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2011 | 3 | 13:45 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 3 | 02:16 | Offensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 2 | 13:51 | Defensive | Jason Arnott |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 1 | 12:16 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Nov 15, 2011 | 2 | 16:14 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Nov 15, 2011 | 1 | 06:07 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |