Scouting Report
Jerred Smithson holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Smithson on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Emmerton wins 45.1% vs right-shot opponents — Smithson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Emmerton 48.7% vs Smithson 55.3% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Smithson leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Emmerton 87.2%
Defensive zone
Smithson 52.0%
Neutral zone
Emmerton 71.4%
Result
Cory Emmerton favored at 66.8%
66.8%
33.2%
Emmerton
Smithson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Emmerton
Smithson
Last 10: Emmerton 3-7 Smithson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smithson
1
2
Emmerton
Smithson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smithson
1
3
Emmerton
Smithson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smithson
1
2
Emmerton
Smithson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Emmerton
Smithson
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (299)
57.9% (518)
-9.7%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
40.0% (10)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
50.0% (108)
+7.1%
On even strength, Smithson has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smithson shoots right. Emmerton is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (91).
Emmerton shoots left. Smithson is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Home / Away
Emmerton
Smithson
Home
49.7% (183)
57.8% (306)
Away
46.2% (130)
54.6% (339)
By Period
Emmerton
Smithson
P1
45.5%
51.8%
P2
50.0%
54.8%
P3
49.4%
62.0%
Final 5 min
46.2%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Emmerton
56.0%▲
50.0%
48.2%
Smithson
52.0%▼
58.0%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2012 | 3 | 05:57 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Feb 17, 2012 | 3 | 01:53 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Feb 17, 2012 | 3 | 01:47 | Offensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Feb 17, 2012 | 2 | 14:06 | Defensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Feb 17, 2012 | 2 | 11:05 | Offensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Feb 17, 2012 | 2 | 10:48 | Neutral | Cory Emmerton |
| Feb 17, 2012 | 2 | 07:39 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Feb 17, 2012 | 1 | 13:14 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Feb 17, 2012 | 1 | 03:03 | Offensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Feb 17, 2012 | 1 | 02:54 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |