Scouting Report
Kyle Brodziak holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Brodziak on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Emmerton wins 45.1% vs right-shot opponents — Brodziak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Emmerton 46.2% vs Brodziak 49.5% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Emmerton 75.5%
Defensive zone
Brodziak 59.3%
Neutral zone
Emmerton 53.8%
Result
Cory Emmerton favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Emmerton
Brodziak
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Emmerton
Brodziak
Last 8: Emmerton 3-5 Brodziak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Emmerton
Brodziak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brodziak
1
2
Emmerton
Brodziak
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brodziak
1
2
Emmerton
Brodziak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Emmerton
Brodziak
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (368)
49.1% (601)
-4.3%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
60.4% (53)
-10.4%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (41)
45.9% (109)
+2.9%
On power play, Brodziak has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brodziak shoots right. Emmerton is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (122).
Emmerton shoots left. Brodziak is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (563).
Home / Away
Emmerton
Brodziak
Home
44.6% (213)
50.5% (374)
Away
46.0% (200)
48.3% (389)
By Period
Emmerton
Brodziak
P1
46.3%
49.1%
P2
43.8%
51.8%
P3
45.7%
46.6%
Final 5 min
37.6%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Emmerton
56.0%▲
50.0%
45.3%
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2013 | 3 | 19:46 | Neutral | Cory Emmerton |
| Mar 20, 2013 | 3 | 16:53 | Offensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Mar 20, 2013 | 2 | 11:45 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 20, 2013 | 2 | 09:09 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 20, 2013 | 1 | 07:08 | Defensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Feb 17, 2013 | 1 | 13:59 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Jan 25, 2013 | 2 | 07:55 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Jan 25, 2013 | 2 | 03:35 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |