Scouting Report
Martin Hanzal holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hanzal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Emmerton wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Hanzal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Emmerton 46.2% vs Hanzal 47.2% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Emmerton 51.7%
Defensive zone
Emmerton 75.2%
Neutral zone
Emmerton 58.0%
Result
Cory Emmerton favored at 62.6%
62.6%
37.4%
Emmerton
Hanzal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Emmerton
Hanzal
Last 7: Emmerton 2-5 Hanzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hanzal
0
3
Emmerton
Hanzal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Emmerton
2
1
Emmerton
Hanzal
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hanzal
0
1
Emmerton
Hanzal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Emmerton
Hanzal
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (368)
47.4% (502)
-2.6%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
42.9% (119)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (41)
56.3% (16)
-7.5%
On penalty kill, Hanzal has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hanzal shoots left. Emmerton is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (291).
Emmerton shoots left. Hanzal is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Home / Away
Emmerton
Hanzal
Home
44.6% (213)
44.8% (330)
Away
46.0% (200)
48.9% (307)
By Period
Emmerton
Hanzal
P1
46.3%
47.8%
P2
43.8%
47.1%
P3
45.7%
46.0%
Final 5 min
37.6%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Emmerton
56.0%▲
50.0%
45.3%
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2013 | 2 | 01:56 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Apr 4, 2013 | 2 | 17:41 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Apr 4, 2013 | 1 | 18:34 | Defensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Apr 4, 2013 | 1 | 06:27 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Apr 4, 2013 | 1 | 06:00 | Defensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 3 | 10:38 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 3 | 06:12 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |