Scouting Report
Nick Spaling holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Emmerton on neutral-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Emmerton 47.8% vs Spaling 49.9% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Emmerton leads 10-7 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Spaling 50.1%
Defensive zone
Spaling 76.3%
Neutral zone
Spaling 65.9%
Result
Nick Spaling favored at 63.7%
36.3%
63.7%
Emmerton
Spaling
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
7
(17 meetings)
10
7
Emmerton
Spaling
Last 10: Emmerton 5-5 Spaling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Emmerton
3
2
Emmerton
Spaling
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Emmerton
Spaling
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Emmerton
5
3
Emmerton
Spaling
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Emmerton
Spaling
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (764)
50.5% (2,263)
-3.4%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
43.4% (53)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
52.5% (59)
48.0% (498)
+4.5%
On penalty kill, Emmerton has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spaling shoots left. Emmerton is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (575).
Emmerton shoots left. Spaling is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,835).
Home / Away
Emmerton
Spaling
Home
47.2% (453)
51.9% (1,437)
Away
47.8% (381)
47.8% (1,378)
By Period
Emmerton
Spaling
P1
45.4%
49.8%
P2
48.5%
48.3%
P3
48.9%
52.0%
Final 5 min
42.7%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Emmerton
56.0%▲
50.0%
47.5%
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2013 | 3 | 16:01 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Apr 25, 2013 | 1 | 09:19 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Apr 25, 2013 | 1 | 09:02 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 3 | 14:45 | Defensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Feb 19, 2013 | 3 | 18:17 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 19, 2013 | 3 | 13:30 | Neutral | Cory Emmerton |
| Feb 19, 2013 | 1 | 11:42 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 19, 2013 | 1 | 05:01 | Neutral | Cory Emmerton |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 3 | 19:20 | Neutral | Cory Emmerton |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 2 | 04:36 | Offensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 1 | 04:15 | Offensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 3 | 09:59 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 3 | 09:49 | Defensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 2 | 09:16 | Neutral | Cory Emmerton |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 2 | 09:08 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 1 | 02:16 | Neutral | Cory Emmerton |
| Feb 17, 2012 | 2 | 07:21 | Offensive | Cory Emmerton |