Scouting Report
Nick Spaling holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Spaling on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Emmerton wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Spaling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Emmerton 46.2% vs Spaling 46.9% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Emmerton 63.5%
Defensive zone
Emmerton 51.1%
Neutral zone
Spaling 53.6%
Result
Cory Emmerton favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Emmerton
Spaling
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Emmerton
Spaling
Last 8: Emmerton 3-5 Spaling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spaling
0
1
Emmerton
Spaling
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spaling
1
2
Emmerton
Spaling
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Emmerton
Spaling
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Emmerton
Spaling
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (368)
48.4% (419)
-3.6%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
30.0% (10)
+20.0%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (41)
32.1% (53)
+16.7%
On power play, Emmerton has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spaling shoots left. Emmerton is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (291).
Emmerton shoots left. Spaling is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (354).
Home / Away
Emmerton
Spaling
Home
44.6% (213)
52.2% (251)
Away
46.0% (200)
39.8% (231)
By Period
Emmerton
Spaling
P1
46.3%
40.6%
P2
43.8%
43.9%
P3
45.7%
54.3%
Final 5 min
37.6%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Emmerton
56.0%▲
50.0%
45.3%
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2013 | 3 | 16:01 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Apr 25, 2013 | 1 | 09:19 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Apr 25, 2013 | 1 | 09:02 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 3 | 14:45 | Defensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Feb 19, 2013 | 3 | 18:17 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 19, 2013 | 3 | 13:30 | Neutral | Cory Emmerton |
| Feb 19, 2013 | 1 | 11:42 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 19, 2013 | 1 | 05:01 | Neutral | Cory Emmerton |