Scouting Report
Patrik Berglund holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Emmerton on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Emmerton wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Berglund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Emmerton 46.2% vs Berglund 46.8% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Berglund 50.6%
Defensive zone
Berglund 59.4%
Neutral zone
Berglund 57.8%
Result
Patrik Berglund favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
Emmerton
Berglund
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Emmerton
Berglund
Last 9: Emmerton 6-3 Berglund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Emmerton
3
1
Emmerton
Berglund
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Berglund
0
1
Emmerton
Berglund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Emmerton
3
1
Emmerton
Berglund
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Emmerton
Berglund
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (368)
46.3% (490)
-1.5%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
52.4% (63)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (41)
38.0% (50)
+10.8%
On penalty kill, Emmerton has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Berglund shoots left. Emmerton is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (291).
Emmerton shoots left. Berglund is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (428).
Home / Away
Emmerton
Berglund
Home
44.6% (213)
49.8% (295)
Away
46.0% (200)
42.9% (308)
By Period
Emmerton
Berglund
P1
46.3%
47.5%
P2
43.8%
46.4%
P3
45.7%
45.7%
Final 5 min
37.6%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Emmerton
56.0%▲
50.0%
45.3%
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2013 | 1 | 06:30 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Feb 13, 2013 | 3 | 12:45 | Offensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Feb 13, 2013 | 2 | 09:04 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Feb 13, 2013 | 2 | 12:39 | Neutral | Cory Emmerton |
| Feb 13, 2013 | 2 | 08:57 | Neutral | Cory Emmerton |
| Feb 13, 2013 | 1 | 04:25 | Neutral | Cory Emmerton |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 2 | 10:46 | Offensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Feb 1, 2013 | 3 | 19:47 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Feb 1, 2013 | 2 | 17:09 | Offensive | Cory Emmerton |