Scouting Report
Cory Emmerton holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Holland on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Emmerton wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Holland shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Emmerton 46.2% vs Holland 45.9% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Holland 50.6%
Defensive zone
Holland 60.1%
Neutral zone
Holland 54.9%
Result
Peter Holland favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Emmerton
Holland
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Emmerton
Holland
Last 8: Emmerton 3-5 Holland
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Holland
0
2
Emmerton
Holland
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Holland
0
3
Emmerton
Holland
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Emmerton
3
0
Emmerton
Holland
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Emmerton
Holland
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (368)
43.4% (196)
+1.4%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
57.1% (7)
-7.1%
On power play, Holland has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holland shoots left. Emmerton is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (291).
Emmerton shoots left. Holland is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (150).
Home / Away
Emmerton
Holland
Home
44.6% (213)
49.2% (130)
Away
46.0% (200)
34.2% (73)
By Period
Emmerton
Holland
P1
46.3%
48.1%
P2
43.8%
39.3%
P3
45.7%
42.6%
Final 5 min
37.6%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Emmerton
56.0%▲
50.0%
45.3%
Holland
38.0%▼
48.0%
43.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2013 | 3 | 02:05 | Defensive | Peter Holland |
| Mar 24, 2013 | 1 | 08:17 | Offensive | Peter Holland |
| Mar 22, 2013 | 1 | 05:08 | Neutral | Cory Emmerton |
| Mar 22, 2013 | 1 | 02:07 | Defensive | Peter Holland |
| Feb 15, 2013 | 2 | 17:27 | Offensive | Peter Holland |
| Feb 15, 2013 | 2 | 13:53 | Neutral | Cory Emmerton |
| Feb 15, 2013 | 2 | 06:44 | Defensive | Peter Holland |
| Feb 15, 2013 | 2 | 06:32 | Neutral | Cory Emmerton |