Scouting Report
Rod Pelley holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Emmerton on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Emmerton 47.8% vs Pelley 51.0% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Emmerton 69.9%
Defensive zone
Pelley 62.8%
Neutral zone
Pelley 50.6%
Result
Cory Emmerton favored at 56.9%
56.9%
43.1%
Emmerton
Pelley
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Emmerton
Pelley
Last 5: Emmerton 2-3 Pelley
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Emmerton
2
1
Emmerton
Pelley
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pelley
0
2
Emmerton
Pelley
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Emmerton
Pelley
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (764)
51.4% (440)
-4.3%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
25.0% (8)
+20.5%
Penalty Kill
52.5% (59)
50.8% (118)
+1.7%
On power play, Emmerton has a +20.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pelley shoots left. Emmerton is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (575).
Emmerton shoots left. Pelley is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (369).
Home / Away
Emmerton
Pelley
Home
47.2% (453)
52.9% (221)
Away
47.8% (381)
50.1% (353)
By Period
Emmerton
Pelley
P1
45.4%
50.8%
P2
48.5%
49.3%
P3
48.9%
53.8%
Final 5 min
42.7%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Emmerton
56.0%▲
50.0%
47.5%
Pelley
50.0%▬
49.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2012 | 1 | 10:42 | Offensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Feb 10, 2012 | 3 | 01:48 | Offensive | Rod Pelley |
| Feb 10, 2012 | 2 | 03:06 | Defensive | Rod Pelley |
| Feb 10, 2012 | 1 | 06:00 | Defensive | Rod Pelley |
| Feb 10, 2012 | 1 | 02:50 | Offensive | Cory Emmerton |