Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on neutral-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Emmerton 47.8% vs Johansen 53.3% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Emmerton 70.7%
Defensive zone
Emmerton 67.8%
Neutral zone
Emmerton 67.8%
Result
Cory Emmerton favored at 68.8%
68.8%
31.2%
Emmerton
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
10
(15 meetings)
5
10
Emmerton
Johansen
Last 10: Emmerton 3-7 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Emmerton
3
2
Emmerton
Johansen
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
2
Emmerton
Johansen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
6
Emmerton
Johansen
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Emmerton
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (764)
53.1% (11,017)
-6.0%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
56.2% (2,163)
-10.7%
Penalty Kill
52.5% (59)
50.5% (978)
+2.0%
On power play, Johansen has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Emmerton is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (259).
Emmerton shoots left. Johansen is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,788).
Home / Away
Emmerton
Johansen
Home
47.2% (453)
55.0% (7,001)
Away
47.8% (381)
51.7% (7,158)
By Period
Emmerton
Johansen
P1
45.4%
53.2%
P2
48.5%
53.9%
P3
48.9%
52.8%
Final 5 min
42.7%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Emmerton
56.0%▲
50.0%
47.5%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2014 | 3 | 06:16 | Neutral | Cory Emmerton |
| Mar 11, 2014 | 2 | 03:09 | Offensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 3 | 14:45 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 2 | 08:51 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 2 | 01:01 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 1 | 12:05 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 1 | 01:44 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 28, 2012 | 3 | 09:53 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 28, 2012 | 2 | 01:43 | Offensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Mar 26, 2012 | 3 | 16:27 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 26, 2012 | 3 | 04:32 | Defensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Mar 26, 2012 | 2 | 08:34 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 26, 2012 | 2 | 04:39 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 26, 2012 | 2 | 04:18 | Offensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Mar 26, 2012 | 1 | 03:32 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |