Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Emmerton wins 45.1% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Emmerton 46.2% vs Johansen 51.2% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Emmerton 67.8%
Defensive zone
Emmerton 66.0%
Neutral zone
Emmerton 67.6%
Result
Cory Emmerton favored at 67.4%
67.4%
32.6%
Emmerton
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Emmerton
Johansen
Last 5: Emmerton 0-5 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
2
Emmerton
Johansen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Emmerton
Johansen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
2
Emmerton
Johansen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Emmerton
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (368)
51.2% (447)
-6.4%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
53.4% (73)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (41)
44.4% (9)
+4.4%
On even strength, Johansen has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Emmerton is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (122).
Emmerton shoots left. Johansen is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (379).
Home / Away
Emmerton
Johansen
Home
44.6% (213)
54.9% (255)
Away
46.0% (200)
48.2% (274)
By Period
Emmerton
Johansen
P1
46.3%
51.7%
P2
43.8%
49.4%
P3
45.7%
51.8%
Final 5 min
37.6%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Emmerton
56.0%▲
50.0%
45.3%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2013 | 3 | 14:45 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 2 | 08:51 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 2 | 01:01 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 1 | 12:05 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 1 | 01:44 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |