Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Emmerton 47.8% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-8.5%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 11-5 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Emmerton 79.6%
Defensive zone
Emmerton 86.0%
Neutral zone
Emmerton 83.1%
Result
Cory Emmerton favored at 83.7%
83.7%
16.3%
Emmerton
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
11
(16 meetings)
5
11
Emmerton
O'Reilly
Last 10: Emmerton 3-7 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
4
Emmerton
O'Reilly
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
3
5
Emmerton
O'Reilly
8 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Emmerton
O'Reilly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Emmerton
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (764)
56.2% (15,260)
-9.1%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
58.8% (3,445)
-13.3%
Penalty Kill
52.5% (59)
51.4% (2,811)
+1.1%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Emmerton is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (575).
Emmerton shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,860).
Home / Away
Emmerton
O'Reilly
Home
47.2% (453)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
47.8% (381)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Emmerton
O'Reilly
P1
45.4%
55.6%
P2
48.5%
57.0%
P3
48.9%
55.1%
Final 5 min
42.7%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Emmerton
56.0%▲
50.0%
47.5%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Cory Emmerton |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 1 | 02:12 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 3 | 15:35 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 3 | 15:30 | Defensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 3 | 06:36 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 2 | 15:23 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 2 | 01:06 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 2 | 00:59 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 1 | 17:12 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 1 | 15:02 | Defensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 1 | 02:10 | Defensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Nov 8, 2011 | 3 | 19:28 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 8, 2011 | 1 | 10:04 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 3 | 10:25 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 2 | 17:41 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 2 | 09:20 | Neutral | Cory Emmerton |