Scouting Report
Saku Koivu holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Emmerton on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Emmerton 47.8% vs Koivu 51.8% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Emmerton 66.7%
Defensive zone
Koivu 68.2%
Neutral zone
Emmerton 52.8%
Result
Saku Koivu favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Emmerton
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Emmerton
Koivu
Last 10: Emmerton 5-5 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Emmerton
3
1
Emmerton
Koivu
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
2
4
Emmerton
Koivu
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
2
Emmerton
Koivu
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Emmerton
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (764)
51.9% (3,221)
-4.8%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
59.3% (437)
-13.8%
Penalty Kill
52.5% (59)
48.0% (764)
+4.5%
On power play, Koivu has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Emmerton is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (575).
Emmerton shoots left. Koivu is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,153).
Home / Away
Emmerton
Koivu
Home
47.2% (453)
53.5% (2,281)
Away
47.8% (381)
50.1% (2,209)
By Period
Emmerton
Koivu
P1
45.4%
51.1%
P2
48.5%
52.6%
P3
48.9%
51.8%
Final 5 min
42.7%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Emmerton
56.0%▲
50.0%
47.5%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2013 | 2 | 02:57 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 22, 2013 | 3 | 17:57 | Offensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Mar 22, 2013 | 2 | 17:04 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 15, 2013 | 3 | 17:27 | Offensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Feb 15, 2013 | 3 | 07:35 | Offensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Feb 15, 2013 | 2 | 03:27 | Neutral | Cory Emmerton |
| Feb 15, 2013 | 1 | 11:53 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 15, 2013 | 1 | 11:43 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 15, 2013 | 1 | 03:01 | Defensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Feb 15, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 14, 2012 | 3 | 05:08 | Defensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 3 | 13:32 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 3 | 13:20 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |