Scouting Report
Scott Nichol holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Nichol on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Emmerton wins 45.1% vs right-shot opponents — Nichol shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Emmerton 48.7% vs Nichol 56.2% (-9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Emmerton 81.9%
Defensive zone
Emmerton 53.5%
Neutral zone
Emmerton 67.0%
Result
Cory Emmerton favored at 61.6%
61.6%
38.4%
Emmerton
Nichol
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Emmerton
Nichol
Last 5: Emmerton 1-4 Nichol
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nichol
0
2
Emmerton
Nichol
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nichol
1
2
Emmerton
Nichol
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Emmerton
Nichol
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (299)
58.0% (371)
-9.8%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
25.0% (4)
+17.9%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
57.3% (75)
-0.2%
On power play, Emmerton has a +17.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nichol shoots right. Emmerton is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (91).
Emmerton shoots left. Nichol is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (311).
Home / Away
Emmerton
Nichol
Home
49.7% (183)
58.6% (215)
Away
46.2% (130)
56.6% (235)
By Period
Emmerton
Nichol
P1
45.5%
56.1%
P2
50.0%
58.4%
P3
49.4%
57.8%
Final 5 min
46.2%
62.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Emmerton
56.0%▲
50.0%
48.2%
Nichol
46.0%▼
60.0%
57.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2011 | 2 | 08:45 | Neutral | Cory Emmerton |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 1 | 14:59 | Neutral | Scott Nichol |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 1 | 05:44 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |
| Nov 15, 2011 | 2 | 02:21 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |
| Nov 15, 2011 | 1 | 17:19 | Neutral | Scott Nichol |