Scouting Report
Scott Nichol holds a +15.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Nichol on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Emmerton wins 45.1% vs right-shot opponents — Nichol shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Emmerton 46.2% vs Nichol 57.2% (-15.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Emmerton 74.8%
Defensive zone
Emmerton 65.5%
Neutral zone
Emmerton 70.2%
Result
Cory Emmerton favored at 71.5%
71.5%
28.5%
Emmerton
Nichol
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Emmerton
Nichol
Last 7: Emmerton 2-5 Nichol
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nichol
1
2
Emmerton
Nichol
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nichol
0
1
Emmerton
Nichol
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nichol
1
2
Emmerton
Nichol
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Emmerton
Nichol
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (368)
61.7% (183)
-16.9%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
0.0% (3)
+50.0%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (41)
59.4% (32)
-10.6%
On power play, Emmerton has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nichol shoots right. Emmerton is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (122).
Emmerton shoots left. Nichol is 67.5% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Emmerton
Nichol
Home
44.6% (213)
69.6% (115)
Away
46.0% (200)
50.5% (103)
By Period
Emmerton
Nichol
P1
46.3%
64.1%
P2
43.8%
52.7%
P3
45.7%
64.6%
Final 5 min
37.6%
66.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Emmerton
56.0%▲
50.0%
45.3%
Nichol
46.0%▼
60.0%
60.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2013 | 2 | 02:14 | Neutral | Scott Nichol |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 2 | 17:16 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 2 | 02:30 | Offensive | Scott Nichol |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 1 | 05:14 | Neutral | Cory Emmerton |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 1 | 02:15 | Offensive | Scott Nichol |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 2 | 13:36 | Offensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 1 | 15:35 | Neutral | Scott Nichol |