Scouting Report
Vernon Fiddler holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Fiddler on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Emmerton wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Fiddler shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Emmerton 46.2% vs Fiddler 51.3% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Emmerton 85.6%
Defensive zone
Fiddler 62.6%
Neutral zone
Emmerton 57.8%
Result
Cory Emmerton favored at 58.0%
58.0%
42.0%
Emmerton
Fiddler
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Emmerton
Fiddler
Last 9: Emmerton 3-6 Fiddler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Emmerton
3
0
Emmerton
Fiddler
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fiddler
0
4
Emmerton
Fiddler
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fiddler
0
2
Emmerton
Fiddler
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Emmerton
Fiddler
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (368)
56.8% (433)
-12.0%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
43.5% (23)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (41)
38.7% (163)
+10.1%
On even strength, Fiddler has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fiddler shoots left. Emmerton is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (291).
Emmerton shoots left. Fiddler is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (404).
Home / Away
Emmerton
Fiddler
Home
44.6% (213)
54.5% (301)
Away
46.0% (200)
48.7% (318)
By Period
Emmerton
Fiddler
P1
46.3%
55.9%
P2
43.8%
47.2%
P3
45.7%
51.9%
Final 5 min
37.6%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Emmerton
56.0%▲
50.0%
45.3%
Fiddler
54.0%▼
58.5%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2013 | 3 | 19:49 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 3 | 19:39 | Offensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 2 | 07:45 | Offensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 1 | 16:11 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 1 | 16:04 | Offensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Jan 22, 2013 | 3 | 04:28 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Jan 22, 2013 | 3 | 04:26 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Jan 22, 2013 | 3 | 00:39 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Jan 22, 2013 | 1 | 12:41 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |