Scouting Report
David Desharnais holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Adams on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Adams wins 43.2% vs left-shot opponents — Desharnais shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Adams 46.4% vs Desharnais 50.8% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Desharnais 82.8%
Defensive zone
Desharnais 62.5%
Neutral zone
Desharnais 72.9%
Result
David Desharnais favored at 71.1%
28.9%
71.1%
Adams
Desharnais
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Adams
Desharnais
Last 6: Adams 4-2 Desharnais
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Desharnais
0
1
Adams
Desharnais
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Adams
2
0
Adams
Desharnais
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Adams
2
1
Adams
Desharnais
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Adams
Desharnais
Edge
Even Strength
43.4% (106)
50.1% (973)
-6.7%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
57.9% (202)
+42.1%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (32)
25.9% (27)
+17.9%
On power play, Adams has a +42.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Desharnais shoots left. Adams is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (88).
Adams shoots right. Desharnais is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (482).
Home / Away
Adams
Desharnais
Home
47.6% (82)
52.7% (592)
Away
38.6% (57)
49.0% (610)
By Period
Adams
Desharnais
P1
46.9%
52.2%
P2
38.3%
52.5%
P3
45.2%
47.7%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.8%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Adams
42.0%▼
45.0%
43.9%
Desharnais
56.0%▲
54.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2014 | 3 | 07:03 | Offensive | David Desharnais |
| Jan 22, 2014 | 2 | 12:12 | Defensive | Craig Adams |
| Jan 22, 2014 | 1 | 16:25 | Neutral | Craig Adams |
| Jan 22, 2014 | 1 | 13:28 | Defensive | Craig Adams |
| Jan 22, 2014 | 1 | 09:50 | Neutral | David Desharnais |
| Jan 22, 2014 | 1 | 09:46 | Neutral | Craig Adams |