Scouting Report
Derek Roy holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Adams on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Adams wins 42.4% vs left-shot opponents — Roy shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Adams 43.2% vs Roy 47.0% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 94.9%
Defensive zone
Roy 66.5%
Neutral zone
Roy 78.3%
Result
Derek Roy favored at 73.2%
26.8%
73.2%
Adams
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
Adams
Roy
Last 6: Adams 6-0 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Adams
1
0
Adams
Roy
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Adams
4
0
Adams
Roy
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Adams
1
0
Adams
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Adams
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (280)
43.9% (380)
+0.4%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
52.8% (106)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
38.3% (175)
55.3% (38)
-17.0%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots left. Adams is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (335).
Adams shoots right. Roy is 48.7% vs right-shot opponents (228).
Home / Away
Adams
Roy
Home
37.1% (213)
51.6% (283)
Away
45.6% (252)
40.4% (245)
By Period
Adams
Roy
P1
46.6%
47.8%
P2
35.8%
41.1%
P3
43.0%
49.7%
OT
100.0%
41.7%
Final 5 min
39.6%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Adams
42.0%▼
45.0%
41.7%
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2010 | 1 | 16:53 | Neutral | Craig Adams |
| Dec 11, 2010 | 1 | 10:53 | Defensive | Craig Adams |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 3 | 18:59 | Defensive | Craig Adams |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 3 | 13:36 | Offensive | Craig Adams |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 2 | 14:55 | Defensive | Craig Adams |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 2 | 10:24 | Defensive | Craig Adams |