Scouting Report
Derick Brassard holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Adams wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Brassard shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Adams 44.5% vs Brassard 49.1% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 88.9%
Defensive zone
Adams 51.7%
Neutral zone
Brassard 65.7%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 67.6%
32.4%
67.6%
Adams
Brassard
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Adams
Brassard
Last 6: Adams 4-2 Brassard
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Adams
2
0
Adams
Brassard
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Adams
2
0
Adams
Brassard
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brassard
0
2
Adams
Brassard
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Adams
Brassard
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (632)
48.7% (8,464)
-1.4%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
52.3% (1,260)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
39.1% (386)
50.3% (179)
-11.2%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brassard shoots left. Adams is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (704).
Adams shoots right. Brassard is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (3,414).
Home / Away
Adams
Brassard
Home
42.0% (488)
50.6% (5,020)
Away
45.8% (546)
47.6% (4,901)
By Period
Adams
Brassard
P1
46.5%
49.0%
P2
40.5%
49.8%
P3
45.5%
48.4%
OT
50.0%
51.0%
Final 5 min
42.2%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Adams
42.0%▼
45.0%
44.0%
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2013 | 1 | 12:19 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 3 | 12:29 | Offensive | Craig Adams |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 2 | 16:07 | Defensive | Craig Adams |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 2 | 15:55 | Defensive | Craig Adams |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 2 | 03:56 | Offensive | Craig Adams |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 1 | 15:49 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |