Scouting Report
Derick Brassard holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Adams wins 42.4% vs left-shot opponents — Brassard shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Adams 43.2% vs Brassard 47.0% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 89.5%
Defensive zone
Adams 59.9%
Neutral zone
Brassard 64.2%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 64.7%
35.3%
64.7%
Adams
Brassard
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Adams
Brassard
Last 5: Adams 4-1 Brassard
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Adams
2
0
Adams
Brassard
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Adams
2
0
Adams
Brassard
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brassard
0
1
Adams
Brassard
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Adams
Brassard
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (280)
45.2% (739)
-0.9%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
54.6% (130)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
38.3% (175)
55.6% (9)
-17.3%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brassard shoots left. Adams is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (335).
Adams shoots right. Brassard is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (237).
Home / Away
Adams
Brassard
Home
37.1% (213)
47.9% (447)
Away
45.6% (252)
45.4% (441)
By Period
Adams
Brassard
P1
46.6%
48.7%
P2
35.8%
44.3%
P3
43.0%
47.2%
OT
100.0%
36.4%
Final 5 min
39.6%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Adams
42.0%▼
45.0%
41.7%
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2010 | 3 | 12:29 | Offensive | Craig Adams |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 2 | 16:07 | Defensive | Craig Adams |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 2 | 15:55 | Defensive | Craig Adams |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 2 | 03:56 | Offensive | Craig Adams |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 1 | 15:49 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |