Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Adams wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Adams 46.4% vs Staal 52.3% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 55.2%
Defensive zone
Adams 81.2%
Neutral zone
Adams 63.2%
Result
Craig Adams favored at 63.0%
63.0%
37.0%
Adams
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Adams
Staal
Last 9: Adams 3-6 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
3
Adams
Staal
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Adams
Staal
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Adams
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Adams
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (170)
52.5% (1,228)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
37.3% (118)
45.6% (136)
-8.3%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Adams is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (188).
Adams shoots right. Staal is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (613).
Home / Away
Adams
Staal
Home
45.8% (131)
53.9% (825)
Away
44.7% (161)
51.1% (856)
By Period
Adams
Staal
P1
46.4%
54.8%
P2
48.2%
54.1%
P3
42.1%
48.6%
OT
0.0%
60.7%
Final 5 min
46.8%
53.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Adams
42.0%▼
45.0%
45.2%
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2012 | 3 | 15:06 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 3 | 02:29 | Defensive | Craig Adams |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 3 | 00:01 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Dec 27, 2011 | 3 | 13:10 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 27, 2011 | 3 | 13:00 | Offensive | Craig Adams |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 3 | 17:56 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 3 | 17:34 | Defensive | Craig Adams |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 3 | 10:33 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 1 | 06:53 | Offensive | Eric Staal |