Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.0% vs 52.0%). Look for Adams on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Adams wins 57.4% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Adams 51.0% vs Staal 51.8% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 74.7%
Defensive zone
Adams 60.0%
Neutral zone
Staal 56.0%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 61.7%
38.3%
61.7%
Adams
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Adams
Staal
Last 7: Adams 4-3 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Adams
2
1
Adams
Staal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Adams
Staal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Adams
2
1
Adams
Staal
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Adams
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
61.4% (57)
52.4% (804)
+9.0%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
53.5% (157)
-53.5%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (40)
41.5% (53)
-1.5%
On power play, Staal has a +53.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Adams is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (68).
Adams shoots right. Staal is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (379).
Home / Away
Adams
Staal
Home
47.8% (46)
52.7% (490)
Away
55.8% (52)
51.3% (524)
By Period
Adams
Staal
P1
52.0%
56.4%
P2
38.2%
52.4%
P3
64.1%
47.4%
Final 5 min
54.5%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Adams
42.0%▼
45.0%
52.0%
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2013 | 3 | 19:11 | Neutral | Craig Adams |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 3 | 16:40 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 3 | 14:30 | Offensive | Craig Adams |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 3 | 10:31 | Offensive | Craig Adams |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 3 | 03:02 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 2 | 12:30 | Neutral | Craig Adams |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 1 | 15:30 | Offensive | Eric Staal |